Wednesday, March 22, 2006

New Scenarios from the Challenge Network

The Challenge Network has announced the public availability of its new scenarios for 2030, marking the tenth anniversary of this series. Many people collaborated on the scenarios and there have been nearly 100,000 downloads of the working papers.

You can find background to the new scenarios here.

The two scenarios are introduced here.

....and described in detail and set in contrast to each here.

The two scenarios are called Bearing the Torch, and The Age of Anxiety.
Neither are like any world that we have experienced, and both have profound
implications for policy and business planners.

Tuesday, March 14, 2006

Survey on China's future role in global business

Friend and colleague Rohit Talwar, CEO of FastFuture has launched a survey of people's perceptions of the future of China in world trade and business. The survey follows up a qualitative survey and is conducted in conjunction with Global Future Forum .

You do not need relevant experience - Rohit wants to compare the perspectives of people with no previous China exposure to those that have such experience.

China's GDP grew at 9.9% in 2005 and each day we read more of China's growing impact on a range of industries, and about its economic and technological growth plans. The speed of development and the scale of China's ambitions are generating a mixture of excitement, confusion and concern across the globe. Rohit and Global Future Forum hope to inform the debate with this survey on three topics:

  • The future of China's economy
  • China's impact on global business
  • Organizational strategies for China.
There will be a follow-on survey on China's Political and Societal future.

The survey takes less than 15 minutes to complete (you do not have to answer all the questions). The survey closes on April 18th.

To complete the survey click here.

Rohit has written a short paper on China's future as a thought starter for the survey and would be happy to email it to you.

Everyone completing the survey will receive a copy of the results.